Time to Quantify Falsifiability
Ilya Nemenman 1
Departments of Physics and Biology, Emory University,
Atlanta, GA 30322, USA
May 29, 2015
Abstract:
Here we argue that the notion of falsifiability, a key concept in defining a valid scientific theory, can be quantified using Bayesian Model Selection, which is a standard tool in modern statistics. This relates falsifiability to the quantitative version of the Occam’s razor, and allows transforming some longrunning arguments about validity of certain scientific theories from philosophical discussions to mathematical calculations.
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Rapaz, isso vai mexer com a alegada robustez epistêmica de algumas teorias queridinhas da Nomenklatura científica. Ah, vai...