Fundamental Theorems of Evolution
David C. Queller*
Department of Biology, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri
ORCIDs: Queller, http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5464-1984.
SUBMITTED: Nov 07, 2016 ACCEPTED: Nov 23, 2016 ONLINE: Feb 28, 2017
Evolutionary biology is undergirded by an extensive and impressive set of mathematical models. Yet only one result, Fisher’s theorem about selection and fitness, is generally accorded the status of a fundamental theorem. I argue that although its fundamental status is justified by its simplicity and scope, there are additional results that seem similarly fundamental. I suggest that the most fundamental theorem of evolution is the Price equation, both because of its simplicity and broad scope and because it can be used to derive four other familiar results that are similarly fundamental: Fisher’s average-excess equation, Robertson’s secondary theorem of natural selection, the breeder’s equation, and Fisher’s fundamental theorem. These derivations clarify both the relationships behind these results and their assumptions. Slightly less fundamental results include those for multivariate evolution and social selection. A key feature of fundamental theorems is that they have great simplicity and scope, which are often achieved by sacrificing perfect accuracy. Quantitative genetics has been more productive of fundamental theorems than population genetics, probably because its empirical focus on unknown genotypes freed it from the tyranny of detail and allowed it to focus on general issues.
Keywords: fundamental theorem, evolution, Price equation, breeder’s equation, average excess.
FREE PDF GRATIS: The American Naturalist