Marcelo Leite, Folha de São Paulo, o CERN avisa: vocês vão ter que revisar SUBSTANCIALMENTE o modelo de aquecimento global

quinta-feira, agosto 25, 2011

CERN: 'Climate models will need to be substantially revised'

By Andrew Orlowski 

Posted in Science, 25th August 2011 10:42 GMT

CERN's 8,000 scientists may not be able to find the hypothetical Higgs boson, but they have made an important contribution to climate physics, prompting climate models to be revised.

The first results from the lab's CLOUD ("Cosmics Leaving OUtdoor Droplets") experiment published in Nature today confirm that cosmic rays spur the formation of clouds through ion-induced nucleation. Current thinking posits that half of the Earth's clouds are formed through nucleation. The paper is entitled Role of sulphuric acid, ammonia and galactic cosmic rays in atmospheric aerosol nucleation.

This has significant implications for climate science because water vapour and clouds play a large role in determining global temperatures. Tiny changes in overall cloud cover can result in relatively large temperature changes.

Unsurprisingly, it's a politically sensitive topic, as it provides support for a "heliocentric" rather than "anthropogenic" approach to climate change: the sun plays a large role in modulating the quantity of cosmic rays reaching the upper atmosphere of the Earth.

CERN's director-general Rolf-Dieter Heuer warned his scientists "to present the results clearly but not interpret them". Readers can judge whether CLOUD's lead physicist Jasper Kirkby has followed his boss's warning.

Cosmic ray particles don't just cause cloud nucleation, they also shrink the fonts CERN uses on its graphics...

"Ion-induced nucleation will manifest itself as a steady production of new particles that is difficult to isolate in atmospheric observations because of other sources of variability but is nevertheless taking place and could be quite large when averaged globally over the troposphere."

Kirkby is quoted in the accompanying CERN press release:

"We've found that cosmic rays significantly enhance the formation of aerosol particles in the mid troposphere and above. These aerosols can eventually grow into the seeds for clouds. However, we've found that the vapours previously thought to account for all aerosol formation in the lower atmosphere can only account for a small fraction of the observations – even with the enhancement of cosmic rays."

The team used the Proton Synchotron accelerator (pictured here with Kirkby) to examine the nucleation using combinations of trace gasses at various temperatures, with precision. These first results confirm that cosmic rays increase the formation of cloud-nuclei by a factor of 10 in the troposphere, but additional trace gasses are needed nearer the surface. 

Read more here/Leia mais aqui: The Register



Nunca neguei o aquecimento global (não seria esfriamento global???) como fenômeno pontual e provocado por n fatores. Sempre neguei o fenômeno ser exclusivamente antropogênico como Al 'Apocalipse' Gore et caterva assustavam todo o mundo.

Gente, como é bom ser corroborado em suas teses por gente assim que entende o que é ciência, faz ciência, e não tem agenda política ou ideológica, como a turma de cientistas do CERN.

Queria ver a cara do Marcelo Leite depois de ler esta postagem e comentário...